/* prediction-dashboard-data.jsx - prediction dashboard data */ window.PREDICTION_DASHBOARD = { "sourceFile": "prediction-dashboard-data", "modelNote": "順位は最も多く出た順位パターン、予想勝ち点は期待値、決勝トーナメント表は50,000回シミュレーションに基づく高確率トーナメント表です。優勝確率ランキングとは別の見方として整理しています。", "resultCards": [ { "kicker": "Title favorite", "title": "優勝確率1位", "value": "スペイン 12.74%", "body": "全体シミュレーションで優勝まで届きやすいチームを上位から整理しています。" }, { "kicker": "Japan R32", "title": "日本のR32到達", "value": "85.0%", "body": "グループ勝ち抜け率とは意味が異なる、決勝トーナメント条件込みの到達率です。" }, { "kicker": "Japan title", "title": "日本の優勝確率", "value": "1.67%", "body": "低確率ですが、上振れシナリオとして追える位置です。" }, { "kicker": "Title line", "title": "優勝候補の本線", "value": "スペイン / イングランド / フランス", "body": "高確率トーナメント表ではなく、優勝確率ランキングを本線として見ます。" }, { "kicker": "Bracket", "title": "決勝T表", "value": "高確率ベース", "body": "50,000回シミュレーションで出現しやすい組み合わせから整理した表です。" } ], "groups": [ { "group": "A", "mode": [ "メキシコ", "韓国", "チェコ", "南アフリカ" ], "count": 7835, "patternProb": 15.67, "table": [ { "team": "メキシコ", "teamEn": "Mexico", "rating": 75.8, "expectedPts": 5.34, "expectedGd": 1.29, "first": 40.985, "second": 32.125, "third": 19.44, "fourth": 7.45, "top2": 73.11, "best3rd": 15.225, "advance": 88.335, "rank": 1 }, { "team": "韓国", "teamEn": "South Korea", "rating": 75.6, "expectedPts": 5.27, "expectedGd": 1.21, "first": 38.44, "second": 32.72, "third": 20.955, "fourth": 7.885, "top2": 71.16, "best3rd": 16.78, "advance": 87.94, "rank": 2 }, { "team": "チェコ", "teamEn": "Czechia", "rating": 69.6, "expectedPts": 3.83, "expectedGd": -0.21, "first": 16.725, "second": 25.41, "third": 36.94, "fourth": 20.925, "top2": 42.135, "best3rd": 26.535, "advance": 68.67, "rank": 3 }, { "team": "南アフリカ", "teamEn": "South Africa", "rating": 61.1, "expectedPts": 1.92, "expectedGd": -2.29, "first": 3.85, "second": 9.745, "third": 22.665, "fourth": 63.74, "top2": 13.595, "best3rd": 14.26, "advance": 27.855, "rank": 4 } ] }, { "group": "B", "mode": [ "スイス", "カナダ", "ボスニア・ヘルツェゴビナ", "カタール" ], "count": 10034, "patternProb": 20.068, "table": [ { "team": "スイス", "teamEn": "Switzerland", "rating": 79.5, "expectedPts": 6.36, "expectedGd": 2.36, "first": 61.645, "second": 25.455, "third": 9.69, "fourth": 3.21, "top2": 87.1, "best3rd": 7.955, "advance": 95.055, "rank": 1 }, { "team": "カナダ", "teamEn": "Canada", "rating": 72.4, "expectedPts": 4.77, "expectedGd": 0.7, "first": 26.235, "second": 39.445, "third": 23.025, "fourth": 11.295, "top2": 65.68, "best3rd": 16.705, "advance": 82.385, "rank": 2 }, { "team": "ボスニア・ヘルツェゴビナ", "teamEn": "Bosnia and Herzegovina", "rating": 65.0, "expectedPts": 3.0, "expectedGd": -1.16, "first": 7.855, "second": 21.07, "third": 37.235, "fourth": 33.84, "top2": 28.925, "best3rd": 23.46, "advance": 52.385, "rank": 3 }, { "team": "カタール", "teamEn": "Qatar", "rating": 61.7, "expectedPts": 2.28, "expectedGd": -1.91, "first": 4.265, "second": 14.03, "third": 30.05, "fourth": 51.655, "top2": 18.295, "best3rd": 17.89, "advance": 36.185, "rank": 4 } ] }, { "group": "C", "mode": [ "ブラジル", "モロッコ", "スコットランド", "ハイチ" ], "count": 15949, "patternProb": 31.898, "table": [ { "team": "ブラジル", "teamEn": "Brazil", "rating": 88.4, "expectedPts": 6.68, "expectedGd": 2.71, "first": 63.055, "second": 27.035, "third": 8.725, "fourth": 1.185, "top2": 90.09, "best3rd": 7.3, "advance": 97.39, "rank": 1 }, { "team": "モロッコ", "teamEn": "Morocco", "rating": 81.2, "expectedPts": 5.28, "expectedGd": 1.3, "first": 28.175, "second": 45.95, "third": 21.595, "fourth": 4.28, "top2": 74.125, "best3rd": 16.6, "advance": 90.725, "rank": 2 }, { "team": "スコットランド", "teamEn": "Scotland", "rating": 72.4, "expectedPts": 3.46, "expectedGd": -0.69, "first": 8.15, "second": 22.98, "third": 51.48, "fourth": 17.39, "top2": 31.13, "best3rd": 34.86, "advance": 65.99, "rank": 3 }, { "team": "ハイチ", "teamEn": "Haiti", "rating": 59.0, "expectedPts": 1.16, "expectedGd": -3.33, "first": 0.62, "second": 4.035, "third": 18.2, "fourth": 77.145, "top2": 4.655, "best3rd": 8.455, "advance": 13.11, "rank": 4 } ] }, { "group": "D", "mode": [ "トルコ", "アメリカ", "パラグアイ", "オーストラリア" ], "count": 6559, "patternProb": 13.118, "table": [ { "team": "トルコ", "teamEn": "Turkey", "rating": 79.0, "expectedPts": 5.38, "expectedGd": 1.26, "first": 43.305, "second": 30.805, "third": 17.415, "fourth": 8.475, "top2": 74.11, "best3rd": 13.49, "advance": 87.6, "rank": 1 }, { "team": "アメリカ", "teamEn": "USA", "rating": 77.9, "expectedPts": 5.08, "expectedGd": 0.98, "first": 36.56, "second": 32.46, "third": 20.04, "fourth": 10.94, "top2": 69.02, "best3rd": 15.47, "advance": 84.49, "rank": 2 }, { "team": "パラグアイ", "teamEn": "Paraguay", "rating": 70.8, "expectedPts": 3.27, "expectedGd": -0.79, "first": 12.495, "second": 21.17, "third": 33.64, "fourth": 32.695, "top2": 33.665, "best3rd": 23.22, "advance": 56.885, "rank": 3 }, { "team": "オーストラリア", "teamEn": "Australia", "rating": 68.0, "expectedPts": 2.61, "expectedGd": -1.46, "first": 7.64, "second": 15.565, "third": 28.905, "fourth": 47.89, "top2": 23.205, "best3rd": 19.33, "advance": 42.535, "rank": 4 } ] }, { "group": "E", "mode": [ "ドイツ", "エクアドル", "コートジボワール", "キュラソー" ], "count": 14782, "patternProb": 29.564, "table": [ { "team": "ドイツ", "teamEn": "Germany", "rating": 86.5, "expectedPts": 6.6, "expectedGd": 2.61, "first": 61.935, "second": 26.41, "third": 10.58, "fourth": 1.075, "top2": 88.345, "best3rd": 8.99, "advance": 97.335, "rank": 1 }, { "team": "エクアドル", "teamEn": "Ecuador", "rating": 78.9, "expectedPts": 5.05, "expectedGd": 1.06, "first": 25.725, "second": 42.25, "third": 27.12, "fourth": 4.905, "top2": 67.975, "best3rd": 20.765, "advance": 88.74, "rank": 2 }, { "team": "コートジボワール", "teamEn": "Ivory Coast", "rating": 73.3, "expectedPts": 3.89, "expectedGd": -0.16, "first": 11.84, "second": 28.165, "third": 47.685, "fourth": 12.31, "top2": 40.005, "best3rd": 34.505, "advance": 74.51, "rank": 3 }, { "team": "キュラソー", "teamEn": "Curacao", "rating": 56.6, "expectedPts": 1.04, "expectedGd": -3.51, "first": 0.5, "second": 3.175, "third": 14.615, "fourth": 81.71, "top2": 3.675, "best3rd": 7.05, "advance": 10.725, "rank": 4 } ] }, { "group": "F", "mode": [ "オランダ", "日本", "スウェーデン", "チュニジア" ], "count": 11214, "patternProb": 22.428, "table": [ { "team": "オランダ", "teamEn": "Netherlands", "rating": 87.7, "expectedPts": 6.4, "expectedGd": 2.42, "first": 61.39, "second": 26.535, "third": 9.47, "fourth": 2.605, "top2": 87.925, "best3rd": 7.755, "advance": 95.68, "rank": 1 }, { "team": "日本", "teamEn": "Japan", "rating": 81.2, "expectedPts": 4.98, "expectedGd": 0.92, "first": 28.055, "second": 41.42, "third": 21.455, "fourth": 9.07, "top2": 69.475, "best3rd": 15.84, "advance": 85.315, "rank": 2 }, { "team": "スウェーデン", "teamEn": "Sweden", "rating": 72.8, "expectedPts": 3.03, "expectedGd": -1.14, "first": 7.405, "second": 20.4, "third": 40.335, "fourth": 31.86, "top2": 27.805, "best3rd": 26.135, "advance": 53.94, "rank": 3 }, { "team": "チュニジア", "teamEn": "Tunisia", "rating": 68.0, "expectedPts": 2.04, "expectedGd": -2.2, "first": 3.15, "second": 11.645, "third": 28.74, "fourth": 56.465, "top2": 14.795, "best3rd": 16.635, "advance": 31.43, "rank": 4 } ] }, { "group": "G", "mode": [ "ベルギー", "エジプト", "イラン", "ニュージーランド" ], "count": 11607, "patternProb": 23.214, "table": [ { "team": "ベルギー", "teamEn": "Belgium", "rating": 81.3, "expectedPts": 6.5, "expectedGd": 2.51, "first": 64.095, "second": 23.955, "third": 9.575, "fourth": 2.375, "top2": 88.05, "best3rd": 8.015, "advance": 96.065, "rank": 1 }, { "team": "エジプト", "teamEn": "Egypt", "rating": 72.7, "expectedPts": 4.6, "expectedGd": 0.53, "first": 22.165, "second": 39.005, "third": 27.835, "fourth": 10.995, "top2": 61.17, "best3rd": 20.28, "advance": 81.45, "rank": 2 }, { "team": "イラン", "teamEn": "Iran", "rating": 68.4, "expectedPts": 3.61, "expectedGd": -0.5, "first": 11.445, "second": 27.75, "third": 39.365, "fourth": 21.44, "top2": 39.195, "best3rd": 26.405, "advance": 65.6, "rank": 3 }, { "team": "ニュージーランド", "teamEn": "New Zealand", "rating": 59.4, "expectedPts": 1.74, "expectedGd": -2.53, "first": 2.295, "second": 9.29, "third": 23.225, "fourth": 65.19, "top2": 11.585, "best3rd": 13.2, "advance": 24.785, "rank": 4 } ] }, { "group": "H", "mode": [ "スペイン", "ウルグアイ", "サウジアラビア", "カーボベルデ" ], "count": 13976, "patternProb": 27.952, "table": [ { "team": "スペイン", "teamEn": "Spain", "rating": 91.7, "expectedPts": 7.09, "expectedGd": 3.19, "first": 71.79, "second": 23.455, "third": 4.065, "fourth": 0.69, "top2": 95.245, "best3rd": 3.38, "advance": 98.625, "rank": 1 }, { "team": "ウルグアイ", "teamEn": "Uruguay", "rating": 81.3, "expectedPts": 5.29, "expectedGd": 1.33, "first": 24.765, "second": 54.98, "third": 15.56, "fourth": 4.695, "top2": 79.745, "best3rd": 11.165, "advance": 90.91, "rank": 2 }, { "team": "サウジアラビア", "teamEn": "Saudi Arabia", "rating": 65.4, "expectedPts": 2.21, "expectedGd": -2.15, "first": 2.025, "second": 11.645, "third": 42.175, "fourth": 44.155, "top2": 13.67, "best3rd": 22.25, "advance": 35.92, "rank": 3 }, { "team": "カーボベルデ", "teamEn": "Cape Verde", "rating": 64.3, "expectedPts": 1.99, "expectedGd": -2.36, "first": 1.42, "second": 9.92, "third": 38.2, "fourth": 50.46, "top2": 11.34, "best3rd": 19.78, "advance": 31.12, "rank": 4 } ] }, { "group": "I", "mode": [ "フランス", "ノルウェー", "セネガル", "イラク" ], "count": 13867, "patternProb": 27.734, "table": [ { "team": "フランス", "teamEn": "France", "rating": 90.9, "expectedPts": 6.55, "expectedGd": 2.55, "first": 62.145, "second": 25.625, "third": 10.895, "fourth": 1.335, "top2": 87.77, "best3rd": 9.14, "advance": 96.91, "rank": 1 }, { "team": "ノルウェー", "teamEn": "Norway", "rating": 82.8, "expectedPts": 4.84, "expectedGd": 0.86, "first": 23.285, "second": 40.04, "third": 30.675, "fourth": 6.0, "top2": 63.325, "best3rd": 23.195, "advance": 86.52, "rank": 2 }, { "team": "セネガル", "teamEn": "Senegal", "rating": 79.1, "expectedPts": 4.08, "expectedGd": 0.07, "first": 14.015, "second": 30.845, "third": 43.78, "fourth": 11.36, "top2": 44.86, "best3rd": 32.3, "advance": 77.16, "rank": 3 }, { "team": "イラク", "teamEn": "Iraq", "rating": 62.1, "expectedPts": 1.07, "expectedGd": -3.48, "first": 0.555, "second": 3.49, "third": 14.65, "fourth": 81.305, "top2": 4.045, "best3rd": 6.995, "advance": 11.04, "rank": 4 } ] }, { "group": "J", "mode": [ "アルゼンチン", "オーストリア", "アルジェリア", "ヨルダン" ], "count": 14976, "patternProb": 29.952, "table": [ { "team": "アルゼンチン", "teamEn": "Argentina", "rating": 89.2, "expectedPts": 6.78, "expectedGd": 2.83, "first": 67.25, "second": 23.445, "third": 8.24, "fourth": 1.065, "top2": 90.695, "best3rd": 7.03, "advance": 97.725, "rank": 1 }, { "team": "オーストリア", "teamEn": "Austria", "rating": 79.4, "expectedPts": 4.8, "expectedGd": 0.78, "first": 21.72, "second": 43.705, "third": 27.07, "fourth": 7.505, "top2": 65.425, "best3rd": 20.025, "advance": 85.45, "rank": 2 }, { "team": "アルジェリア", "teamEn": "Algeria", "rating": 74.0, "expectedPts": 3.68, "expectedGd": -0.43, "first": 10.17, "second": 27.6, "third": 45.855, "fourth": 16.375, "top2": 37.77, "best3rd": 31.705, "advance": 69.475, "rank": 3 }, { "team": "ヨルダン", "teamEn": "Jordan", "rating": 60.8, "expectedPts": 1.28, "expectedGd": -3.18, "first": 0.86, "second": 5.25, "third": 18.835, "fourth": 75.055, "top2": 6.11, "best3rd": 9.28, "advance": 15.39, "rank": 4 } ] }, { "group": "K", "mode": [ "ポルトガル", "コロンビア", "DRコンゴ", "ウズベキスタン" ], "count": 13174, "patternProb": 26.348, "table": [ { "team": "ポルトガル", "teamEn": "Portugal", "rating": 89.2, "expectedPts": 6.69, "expectedGd": 2.77, "first": 63.455, "second": 28.715, "third": 6.325, "fourth": 1.505, "top2": 92.17, "best3rd": 5.19, "advance": 97.36, "rank": 1 }, { "team": "コロンビア", "teamEn": "Colombia", "rating": 82.7, "expectedPts": 5.45, "expectedGd": 1.49, "first": 31.355, "second": 48.42, "third": 15.72, "fourth": 4.505, "top2": 79.775, "best3rd": 11.755, "advance": 91.53, "rank": 2 }, { "team": "DRコンゴ", "teamEn": "DR Congo", "rating": 68.5, "expectedPts": 2.51, "expectedGd": -1.8, "first": 3.445, "second": 13.805, "third": 44.68, "fourth": 38.07, "top2": 17.25, "best3rd": 26.395, "advance": 43.645, "rank": 3 }, { "team": "ウズベキスタン", "teamEn": "Uzbekistan", "rating": 65.2, "expectedPts": 1.89, "expectedGd": -2.47, "first": 1.745, "second": 9.06, "third": 33.275, "fourth": 55.92, "top2": 10.805, "best3rd": 17.745, "advance": 28.55, "rank": 4 } ] }, { "group": "L", "mode": [ "イングランド", "クロアチア", "ガーナ", "パナマ" ], "count": 15170, "patternProb": 30.34, "table": [ { "team": "イングランド", "teamEn": "England", "rating": 90.6, "expectedPts": 6.96, "expectedGd": 3.04, "first": 69.6, "second": 24.37, "third": 5.165, "fourth": 0.865, "top2": 93.97, "best3rd": 4.325, "advance": 98.295, "rank": 1 }, { "team": "クロアチア", "teamEn": "Croatia", "rating": 81.4, "expectedPts": 5.25, "expectedGd": 1.27, "first": 25.9, "second": 51.68, "third": 17.475, "fourth": 4.945, "top2": 77.58, "best3rd": 12.87, "advance": 90.45, "rank": 2 }, { "team": "ガーナ", "teamEn": "Ghana", "rating": 68.5, "expectedPts": 2.64, "expectedGd": -1.66, "first": 3.27, "second": 15.96, "third": 46.735, "fourth": 34.035, "top2": 19.23, "best3rd": 26.99, "advance": 46.22, "rank": 3 }, { "team": "パナマ", "teamEn": "Panama", "rating": 63.1, "expectedPts": 1.71, "expectedGd": -2.65, "first": 1.23, "second": 7.99, "third": 30.625, "fourth": 60.155, "top2": 9.22, "best3rd": 15.375, "advance": 24.595, "rank": 4 } ] } ], "bestThirdTeams": [ { "team": "スコットランド", "teamEn": "Scotland", "group": "C", "rating": 72.4, "expectedPts": 3.46, "best3rd": 34.86, "advance": 65.99, "third": 51.48, "rank": 1 }, { "team": "コートジボワール", "teamEn": "Ivory Coast", "group": "E", "rating": 73.3, "expectedPts": 3.89, "best3rd": 34.505, "advance": 74.51, "third": 47.685, "rank": 2 }, { "team": "セネガル", "teamEn": "Senegal", "group": "I", "rating": 79.1, "expectedPts": 4.08, "best3rd": 32.3, "advance": 77.16, "third": 43.78, "rank": 3 }, { "team": "アルジェリア", "teamEn": "Algeria", "group": "J", "rating": 74.0, "expectedPts": 3.68, "best3rd": 31.705, "advance": 69.475, "third": 45.855, "rank": 4 }, { "team": "ガーナ", "teamEn": "Ghana", "group": "L", "rating": 68.5, "expectedPts": 2.64, "best3rd": 26.99, "advance": 46.22, "third": 46.735, "rank": 5 }, { "team": "チェコ", "teamEn": "Czechia", "group": "A", "rating": 69.6, "expectedPts": 3.83, "best3rd": 26.535, "advance": 68.67, "third": 36.94, "rank": 6 }, { "team": "イラン", "teamEn": "Iran", "group": "G", "rating": 68.4, "expectedPts": 3.61, "best3rd": 26.405, "advance": 65.6, "third": 39.365, "rank": 7 }, { "team": "DRコンゴ", "teamEn": "DR Congo", "group": "K", "rating": 68.5, "expectedPts": 2.51, "best3rd": 26.395, "advance": 43.645, "third": 44.68, "rank": 8 }, { "team": "スウェーデン", "teamEn": "Sweden", "group": "F", "rating": 72.8, "expectedPts": 3.03, "best3rd": 26.135, "advance": 53.94, "third": 40.335, "rank": 9 }, { "team": "ボスニア・ヘルツェゴビナ", "teamEn": "Bosnia and Herzegovina", "group": "B", "rating": 65.0, "expectedPts": 3.0, "best3rd": 23.46, "advance": 52.385, "third": 37.235, "rank": 10 }, { "team": "パラグアイ", "teamEn": "Paraguay", "group": "D", 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"nextMatch": null } ] } };